Journal of Contemporary Politics

Abstract

Geopolitical risks pose evolving threats to global energy security, shaping supply chains, market stability, and national energy strategies. While AI has already enhanced predictive modelling, the future holds transformative potential in leveraging AI for more advanced risk mitigation. This paper explores the prospects of AI in predictive geopolitical risk modelling, focusing on future applications, challenges, and possibilities. The discussion also incorporates potential drawbacks, ethical considerations, and the integration of AI into proactive decision-making frameworks. Real-life geopolitical crises, such as tensions in the Taiwan Strait, shifts in Arctic energy routes, and growing cyber threats, are analysed through the lens of AI’s future capabilities. It examines emerging AI methodologies, advanced risk indicators, novel data sources, and future case scenarios that illustrate AI’s expanding role. The research underscores the need for international cooperation, continuous AI development, and ethical AI governance to harness AI’s full potential in securing energy futures.

Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Geopolitical Risk, Energy Security, Predictive Modelling, AI Governance, Cybersecurity in Energy